Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.021034 0.022777 0.024596 0.026637 0.028865 0.031224 0.033912
2025-08-24 0.017698 0.020144 0.022837 0.026029 0.029713 0.033842 0.038831
2025-08-31 0.015667 0.018500 0.021747 0.025754 0.030583 0.036231 0.043367
2025-09-07 0.014202 0.017275 0.020912 0.025552 0.031341 0.038357 0.047556
2025-09-14 0.013076 0.016312 0.020250 0.025419 0.032063 0.040369 0.051619
2025-09-21 0.012065 0.015388 0.019529 0.025104 0.032464 0.041920 0.055103
2025-09-28 0.011376 0.014806 0.019178 0.025200 0.033348 0.044087 0.059471
2025-10-05 0.010703 0.014189 0.018722 0.025099 0.033927 0.045836 0.063329
2025-10-12 0.010184 0.013736 0.018442 0.025198 0.034750 0.047927 0.067748
2025-10-19 0.009715 0.013316 0.018173 0.025276 0.035524 0.049960 0.072175
2025-10-26 0.009235 0.012849 0.017804 0.025179 0.036021 0.051600 0.076090
2025-11-02 0.008835 0.012469 0.017531 0.025192 0.036661 0.053458 0.080415
2025-11-09 0.008318 0.011911 0.016995 0.024822 0.036758 0.054584 0.083804
2025-11-16 0.007821 0.011356 0.016438 0.024392 0.036741 0.055540 0.087005
2025-11-23 0.007420 0.010921 0.016030 0.024158 0.037001 0.056920 0.090953
2025-11-30 0.007065 0.010535 0.015672 0.023973 0.037314 0.058385 0.095111
2025-12-07 0.006753 0.010197 0.015368 0.023849 0.037707 0.059983 0.099574
2025-12-14 0.006424 0.009815 0.014973 0.023555 0.037799 0.061081 0.103234
2025-12-21 0.006207 0.009597 0.014824 0.023644 0.038519 0.063248 0.108879
2025-12-28 0.005964 0.009326 0.014573 0.023551 0.038919 0.064888 0.113678
2026-01-04 0.005777 0.009134 0.014441 0.023643 0.039634 0.067096 0.119638
2026-01-11 0.005597 0.008946 0.014303 0.023716 0.040314 0.069272 0.125668
2026-01-18 0.005396 0.008712 0.014078 0.023625 0.040695 0.070928 0.130818